How to start a risk matrix for coporative crisis anticipation

Eighty-six percent of crises are expected within organizations, and there's a tool that communication teams can implement to serve as an effective crisis management system.

In today’s dynamic and interconnected business environment, crisis management has become a strategic priority for organizations across all sectors. According to the Institute for Crisis Management, only 14% of crises are unexpected, meaning 86% can be anticipated. One of the most effective tools for predicting and mitigating image and institutional crises is the creation of a risk matrix, which helps ensure resilience and operational continuity—like a cushion to soften the fall.

Reputation and image crises can emerge from various situations, such as layoffs, defective products, a spokesperson’s misstatement, data or image leaks, accidents, recurring customer complaints, theft, legal violations, or incidents of prejudice or discrimination.

Every company is vulnerable to a crisis, but according to American consultant Robin Cohn, organizations that are prepared recover two to three times faster than those that are not. A risk matrix is an excellent starting point for this preparation.

What is a Risk Matrix?

The risk matrix is a valuable tool for analysis and planning, helping companies identify, evaluate, and prioritize potential risks. Its significance is well recognized across various fields, particularly in public relations and marketing, where image crises can have severe consequences.

Essentially, the risk matrix visually maps out potential risks by combining their likelihood of occurrence with their potential impact. This approach enables companies to determine which risks need the most attention and preparation.

Basic Concepts: Understanding Risk, Probability, and Impact

To effectively use a risk matrix, it’s important to understand three fundamental concepts: risk, probability, and impact. Risk refers to any event or condition that could lead to negative outcomes for the company. Probability is the likelihood of this event occurring, while impact measures the severity of the consequences if it does.

The risks included in a matrix can vary widely, from image and reputation crises to operational challenges, financial threats, and regulatory risks.

Components of a Risk Matrix

An effective risk matrix includes several key components:

  1. Risk Identification: Identifying events that could affect the company.
  2. Probability Assessment: Estimating how likely each risk is to occur.
  3. Impact Assessment: Evaluating the severity of the potential consequences for the company.
  4. Risk Categorization: Classifying risks into categories, such as high, medium, or low priority.

4 Steps to Building a Risk Matrix

Creating a risk matrix involves the following steps:

  1. Risk Mapping: Identify potential adverse events.
  2. Probability and Impact Classification: Assign scores to each risk based on its likelihood and potential impact.
  3. Plotting on the Matrix: Place risks on the matrix by crossing probability with impact.
  4. Action Prioritization: Develop strategies to address the most critical risks identified in the matrix.

Interpreting and Analyzing the Risk Matrix

Once the risk matrix is complete, it should be analyzed to identify the most urgent risks that need immediate attention. This analysis enables the company to develop contingency plans, allocate resources more effectively, and respond to potential crises with greater agility.

Mitigation, Planning, and Response System

Once the risk matrix is established, the next step is to mitigate the identified risks. This might involve forming crisis committees, implementing targeted communication policies, and defining rapid response protocols. Advance planning ensures the company is prepared to act swiftly, minimizing negative impacts and safeguarding its reputation.

Benefits of the Risk Matrix

Implementing a risk matrix brings numerous advantages to companies. It fosters a culture of prevention rather than reaction, enhances decision-making, aligns different areas of the organization, and ensures business continuity during critical moments. Moreover, it boosts stakeholders’ confidence by showing that the company is well-prepared to handle adversity.

In a world where crises can emerge unexpectedly and in various forms, the risk matrix stands out as an essential tool for efficient and proactive management. By anticipating problems, planning responses, and mitigating impacts, the risk matrix not only safeguards the company’s reputation but also ensures its long-term sustainability.

How Can Sherlock Communications Help?

In crisis communications—especially in Latin America—not planning is a recipe for failure. As an international public relations agency with extensive local and global experience, we can collaborate with your teams to:

  • Conduct risk assessment audits
  • Develop and anticipate crisis response plans for best- and worst-case scenarios
  • Identify, train, and create models for an internal spokesperson crisis response team
  • Establish effective monitoring and notification systems
  • Craft culturally appropriate holding statements and emergency paid search campaigns around negative keywords
  • Execute proactive media and social media outreach to secure the right to reply
  • Manage internal engagement and security campaigns
  • Provide post-crisis analysis and ongoing reputation recovery strategies

Our expertise ensures your organization is prepared to navigate and mitigate crises effectively.

Written by: Nyldo Moreira